KCRE-FM Emergency Page

Significant Rain and Wind Event Thursday through Monday in
Del Norte, Humboldt, Mendocino and Trinity Counties
 
Potential Impacts
  • Main stem rivers will have rapid rises and increased flow.
  • The following main stem rivers are forecast to reach or exceed flood stage:
    • Eel River at Fernbridge
    • Navarro River near Navarro
    • Russian River near Hopland
  • The following main stem rivers are forecast to remain below flood stage but are forecast to reach or exceed monitor stage:
    • Mad River near Arcata
    • Eel River at Scotia
    • Van Duzen River near Bridgeville
    • SF Eel River near Miranda
  • Small streams and tributaries will also have rapid rises and increased flow and are expected to exceed their banks.
  • Localized street flooding is possible during periods of moderate rain.
  • Ponding water on low lying areas and those areas with poor drainage.
  • Rock and mudslides along highways and county roads in mountainous terrain.
·          Downed trees and power outages due to strong winds.
·          Closed county and secondary roads due to flooding.
 
·          Possible highway closures:
    • Highway 211 between Highway 101 and Ferndale
    • Highway 128 west of Navarro
    • Highway 175 near Hopland
    • Highway 1 near Manchester
 Forecast Confidence
  • Low to moderate confidence for forecast precipitation amounts and the river stage heights and  discharge.  Please continue to monitor forecast for updates.
 Forecast Precipitation Amounts
Forecast precipitation amounts Thursday through Saturday
  • Smith River Basin                     7 to 9 inches
  • Lower Klamath River Basin    4 to 5 inches
  • Redwood Creek                          6 to 8 inches
  • Eel River Basin                           7 to 9 inches
  • SF Eel River                                 8 to 10 inches
  • Mad River Basin                         7 to 8 inches
  • Van Duzen River Basin             7 to 9 inches
  • Trinity River Basin                      5 to 6 inches
  • Upper Russian River Basin       6 to 8 inches
  • Navarro River Basin                  8 to 9 inches
For weather updates visit WFO Eureka Web site.
 
For precipitation amounts and River Hydrograph forecast from the CNRFC click here.
Weather Summary
A series of warm and very moist weather systems will bring significant rainfall to northwest California.  The model guidance has been trending towards having the most rainfall to be in Southern Humboldt County and Mendocino County. However the precipitation amounts have varied from run to run.  So confidence in the forecast precipitation amounts remains low to moderate.
 
The precipitation is forecast to begin early Thursday morning across the entire region. The 12-hour period from 4 am to 4 pm Friday is when the rainfall is expected to be the heaviest.  Then a lull in the rainfall amounts Friday night into Saturday morning as the precipitation will be in the form of showers.  The next weather system moves in Saturday afternoon and evening generating another round of light to moderate rain.  Then a second lull with the rain in the form of showers late from late Saturday night into Sunday morning as the region is again between systems.  The next weather system moves in Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening.  Then rain showers again on Monday.  The rain showers are expected to end Monday night.
 
As of 7:30 am, Tuesday February 3,
 
Smith River near Crescent City M/S 25.0 feet                F/S 29.0 feet
            To peak near 20 feet around 8:00 pm, February 6, 2015
 
Smith River at Dr. Fine Bridge   M/S 27.0 feet                F/S 33.0 feet
            To peak near 25 feet around 10:00 pm, February 6, 2015
 
Klamath River at Orleans          M/S 32.0 feet    F/S 38.0 feet
            To peak near 18 feet around Midnight, February 7, 2015
 
Klamath River at Klamath          M/S 30.0 feet    F/S 38.0 feet
            To peak near 27 feet around 8 am, February 6, 2015
 
Trinity River near Hoopa           M/S 44.0 feet    F/S 48.0 feet
            To peak near 26 feet around 5:00 am, February 7, 2015
 
 
Redwood Creek at Orick           M/S 26.0 feet    F/S 32.0 feet
            To peak at 21 feet around 11:00 pm, February 6, 2015
 
Mad River near Arcata  M/S 15.0 feet    F/S 22.0 feet
            To peak near 15 feet at 10:00 pm, February 6, 2015
 
Van Duzen River near Bridgeville          M/S 13.0 feet    F/S 17.0 feet
            To peak near 15 feet at 6:00 pm, February 6, 2015
 
SF Eel River near Miranda        M/S 27.0 feet    F/S 33.0 feet
            To peak at 27 feet at 11:00 pm, February 6, 2015
 
Eel River near Scotia    M/S 45.0 feet    F/S 51.0 feet
            To peak at 45 feet near 6:00 am February 7, 2015
 
Eel River at Fernbridge M/S 14.0 feet    F/S 20.0 feet
            To peak near 22 feet around 7:00 am February 7, 2015
 
Russian River near Hopland      M/S 18.0 feet    F/S 21.0 feet
            To peak at 21.0 feet around 9:00 pm February 6, 2015
 
Navarro River near Navarro      F/S 23.0 feet
            To peak near 29 feet around midnight February 7, 2015
 
Garcia River near Point Arena  
            To peak near 10 feet around Noon, February 7, 2015
 
M/S is Monitor Stage and F/S is Flood Stage.
 
NWS Eureka will continue to provide updates as the situation develops.
 
 
Please do not reply to this email. Rather, contact NWS Eureka at (707) 443-6484 for 24x7 for forecast assistance.
 
Monitor NWS Eureka on the Web at Weather.gov/eureka or on Facebook, orTwitterfor further updates.

 

 

Road Conditions:

California:  

http://www.dot.ca.gov/cgi-bin/roads.cgi

Oregon:

https://tripcheck.com/Pages/RCMap.asp?curRegion=7

 

Road Cam: California

Smith River:

http://www.dot.ca.gov/dist1/d1tmc/1_cam.php?cam=4

Crescent City:

http://www.dot.ca.gov/dist1/d1tmc/1_cam.php?cam=3

Cushing Creek:

http://www.dot.ca.gov/dist1/d1tmc/1_cam.php?cam=1

 

Road Cam: Oregon

Brookings:

https://tripcheck.com/popups/Cam.asp?curRegion=7&camera=1804&camera=1807

Gold Beach:

https://tripcheck.com/popups/Cam.asp?curRegion=7&camera=2336

Port Orford:

https://tripcheck.com/popups/Cam.asp?curRegion=7&camera=2507&camera=2511

 

 

 

River Conditions:

Northern California:

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/cnrfc/rsa_getprod.php?prod=RNORVFSE&wfo=cnrfc&version=0

 

Southwest Oregon:

http://www.nwrfc.noaa.gov/rfc/

 

 

 

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